Holiday Trends
How to prevent chargebacks and ecommerce fraud during the holidays.
Learn how chargeback prevention and ecommerce fraud prevention strategies can help businesses reduce disputes, prevent losses and prepare for the holiday rush.
Holiday chargebacks and fraud are predictable, which means you can prepare for most of them before your first seasonal sale goes live.
Fraud reaches shoppers and the businesses that serve them at a scale that's hard to ignore. People in Canada reported losing more than $704 million to fraud in 2025, and only a small share of incidents is ever reported. Stolen card details from those schemes don't sit idle. They get tested and spent where order volume is highest and review time is shortest, and that describes most stores from mid-November to early January.
Seasonal advice usually stops at "watch for suspicious orders". That's too vague to act on when you're short-staffed and shipping late into the evening. Losses concentrate in a handful of places you can name ahead of time, such as online orders, first-time customers, rushed shipping and the weeks after gifts are opened. Chargeback prevention works best when your effort goes to those places first.
Chargebacks increase after the holiday seasons because disputes trail purchases by weeks. Cardholders review December statements in January, gift recipients find problems after the return window feels closed and stolen cards used during the rush are finally noticed. Dispute windows often run to about 120 days, so a November sale can still be challenged in March.
Picture a gift shop that ships 400 online orders in the first two weeks of December. A parcel marked as delivered goes missing from a porch, a relative doesn't recognize the store name on a shared card and a customer who can't reach anyone by phone on Boxing Day calls the bank instead. None of those cases involves a criminal. Each one still arrives as a dispute with a deadline attached.
The delay matters because the evidence you need was created weeks earlier. Tracking numbers, signed receipts and customer emails are easy to save on the day of the sale and painful to rebuild in February. Your seasonal staff may have moved on by then too, so nobody remembers the order. Treat every December transaction as one you might have to explain later.
Holiday fraud losses concentrate in card-not-present sales, where nobody inserts a chip card or enters a PIN. Online checkouts, phone orders and manually keyed transactions carry most of the exposure, and the liability for an unauthorized purchase in those channels usually sits with you. In-store chip and tap payments carry far less risk.
The online share of sales also peaks at the moment your attention is thinnest. Retail ecommerce sales in Canada reached $4.3 billion in December 2025 and made up 6.1 per cent of total retail trade, up from 5.8 per cent a month earlier. More of your revenue moves through the ecommerce channel with the weakest built-in protection during the same weeks you have the least time to review orders.
Within that channel, the pattern narrows further. Losses cluster around first-time customers, orders well above your average basket, expedited shipping and billing and shipping addresses that don't match. Gift cards and small electronics attract the most attempts because they resell easily. A bakery taking a few phone orders has a very different exposure than a store shipping headphones across the country, so map your own risk before you copy someone else's rules.The main difference between friendly fraud and criminal fraud is who made the purchase. Criminal fraud involves a stolen card or account used without the cardholder's knowledge. Friendly fraud starts with a real customer who later disputes a legitimate charge, often out of confusion, impatience or regret. It needs a different response.
Screening tools stop criminals at checkout, yet they do very little about a genuine customer who forgets a purchase. That second group responds to clarity. A billing descriptor that matches your store name, a confirmation email with the order details and a return policy people can find in one tap will prevent many of those calls to the bank.
|
Dispute source |
What usually prevents it |
|
Stolen card used for an online order |
Address and security code checks plus 3-D Secure shift more of the risk away from your store. |
|
Customer doesn't recognize the charge |
A billing descriptor that shows your trading name makes the statement line familiar. |
|
Parcel reported as not received |
Tracking and delivery confirmation on higher-value orders give you proof to submit. |
|
Gift returned after the policy window |
An extended holiday return period keeps the conversation with you instead of the bank. |
|
Duplicate or incorrect amount charged |
A daily reconciliation catches errors early enough to refund before a dispute is filed. |
Ecommerce fraud prevention for a small business starts with the tools already inside your payment gateway. Address verification, card security code checks and 3-D Secure cover the basics. Risk scoring adds a layer that weighs each order against known fraud patterns and decides to approve, decline or hold it for review.
Consider an online clothing store that normally reviews odd-looking orders by hand. That habit works at 20 orders a day and collapses at 200. Automated scoring looks at device, location, order history and velocity in the time it takes the page to load, so only the borderline cases reach a person. Moneris offers fraud tools for online payments that include Kount, which scores card-not-present transactions against patterns seen across a large network of merchants.
Timing is the catch. Rules tuned in a rush tend to be too loose or too strict, and strict rules decline good customers at the worst moment. Set your thresholds in October, watch a few weeks of normal traffic and adjust before the first promotion. A declined gift order rarely comes back.
Chargeback prevention depends on routine as much as software. Card-present sales stay protected when the customer inserts, taps or enters a PIN on the terminal. Disputes of every kind are easier to win when the order record is complete. Small habits repeated on every sale are what hold up under holiday volume.
A short list for the team covers most of it.
Holiday fraud and chargebacks reward the businesses that prepare before the rush and punish the ones that react during it. Your exposure follows a pattern you can read in your own dispute history. Put controls where losses concentrate, keep records as you go and January becomes a month of ordinary bookkeeping.
Perfection isn't the goal. Some disputes will arrive no matter what you do, and a few declined orders will turn out to have been genuine. What you're after is fewer surprises and a faster, calmer response when one lands. That comes from knowing which orders deserve a second look and which ones should sail through.
Most owners already know their weak spot. It might be phone orders, a checkout that skips the security code or a return policy nobody can find. Fix that one thing first, then the next. If you'd like help matching fraud settings to the way you sell, Moneris supports businesses across Canada with fraud prevention tools for online and in-person payments and 24/7 support in English and French. The busiest weeks will always be busy, and they don't have to be the costliest.Small businesses can reduce ecommerce fraud by using fraud tools such as Address Verification Service (AVS), Card Verification Value (CVV) checks, and 3-D Secure authentication. These tools help confirm that the person making a purchase is the legitimate cardholder. Monitoring for unusual buying patterns, such as high-value orders, multiple cards being used for a single purchase or requests for expedited shipping, can also help identify suspicious transactions before they result in losses.
Chargebacks often increase after Christmas because the holiday shopping season generates a higher volume of transactions, deliveries, returns and customer inquiries. Some customers may not recognize a purchase on their statement, while others may file disputes due to shipping delays, gift returns or dissatisfaction with an order. Fraud also tends to rise during busy shopping periods, leading to more unauthorized transaction claims and disputes in the weeks following the holidays.
To protect your store from holiday fraud, combine strong payment security tools with careful transaction monitoring. Verify customer details with AVS and CVV checks, enable 3-D Secure for online purchases and watch for unusual purchasing behaviour, especially during peak shopping periods such as Black Friday and Cyber Monday. Reviewing high-risk orders before fulfillment and responding quickly to suspicious activity can help reduce fraud-related losses and chargebacks.
Canadian merchants can reduce chargebacks by providing clear order and billing information, maintaining accurate transaction records and communicating proactively with customers throughout the purchase and fulfillment process. Tracking shipments, making customer support easy to access and responding promptly to chargeback notifications can significantly improve dispute outcomes. For online sales, security tools such as AVS, CVV verification and 3-D Secure can help prevent unauthorized transactions before they become chargebacks.
Friendly fraud occurs when a legitimate cardholder disputes a purchase they actually made. This can happen when customers do not recognize a charge, forget about a purchase or have a family member use their card. Holiday shopping often increases friendly fraud because people make more purchases, buy gifts for others and may not immediately recognize transactions on their statements. Clear billing descriptions, order confirmations and accessible customer support can help reduce these disputes.
If you receive a chargeback, respond as quickly as possible and gather all supporting documentation related to the transaction. Depending on the reason for the dispute, this may include receipts, proof of delivery, customer communications, order confirmations and records showing the customer accepted your terms and policies. Missing response deadlines can result in an automatic loss, so it's important to act promptly.
Holiday Trends
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